How to accurately determine whether ovulation really happened?

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I ask because I am seeing an RE but don't see how he concludes that I must be ovluating on my own. (progesterone at 23 dpo was 10; he says an ultrasound done on day 23 shows evidence of ovulation; physical exam shows CM typical of post-ovulation; and my BBT charts show a rise from pre-o temps of about 98.1 to post-o temps about 98.7). I have tried OPK's but never get a surge. In your opinion, should I trust his judgement that I am indeed ovulating? [RE says clomid and IUI is the next treatment; have already done SA, HSG and lap-- all normal]

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