Medical decision-making

From: Zach Newton (zbnewton@mindspring.com)
Sun Jul 29 16:29:45 2001


Robert Woolley wrote:

> Brody and Thompson adopted a
> term from game theory --"maximin strategy"-- to explain part of this
> tendency: we choose "the alternative that makes the best of the worst
> possible outcome, regardless of the probability that that outcome will
> occur," believing that "the hallmark of obstetrical quality is the
> prevention of the rare disaster rather than the optimal conduct of the many
> normal case." (Brody H and Thompson JR. The maximin strategy in modern
> obstetrics. J Fam Pract 1981; 12(6):977-986.)

Bob-

Medical decision-making, as any judgement endeavor, is, of course, imperfect. Can't change that. All decision making must include a variety of concepts to achieve best outcome, as defined by responsible party. Enter value assignment (risk acceptance). Enter discount rate (acceptable loss). Enter velocity of change. Enter capital base (resource availability). Enter bias (can't live without 'em).

Clinical pathways weaken as the intensity of the threat of morbidity and mortality increases, it might be argued. The neural network of competent attendants at max force will beat a pathway any day of week in critical situation. As change in status transfers to non-linear from linear progress, call code blue for interventionists. Therapeutic nihilism, as in watchful waiting, is not the solution when the meassage is, "Houston, we have a problem."

Don't feel a little cheated that you don't carry a knife to work?

--
Zach Newton
Z. B. Newton, III, M.D.
Atlanta/Gyn




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